عربي Donate
In development Led by the New Civil Society Development Institute with Darfur universities

Darfur Social Cohesion Observatory

We measure social cohesion across Darfur’s five states through 2030, and we build the measurement with you: share what you see in your community, and the Institute verifies it before it counts.

states covered
5
index variables
5
goals to 2030
5
Index value: awaiting first survey
—
The index

Darfur Social Cohesion Index 2030

A composite index of four variables that raise it and one that lowers it, as set out in the Institute’s strategy. Pick a variable to see what it measures.

Th

Horizontal trust

Trust between neighbours and between groups: whether people deal with, rely on and live alongside those from other communities.

What we measure
  • Trust in neighbours from other groups
  • Inter-group marriage, markets and sport
  • Spread of identity-based rumours
The index has no value yet. Early readings are local studies with small samples, shown for context; they are not comparable with each other and do not represent the region. The method follows the Social Cohesion and Reconciliation Index (SCORE).
2030 goals

What the strategy promised, and where we stand

Five quantitative goals we track in public. The baseline is filled after the first annual survey.

Fewer violent communal conflicts2026 baseline: High rates of clashes over resources and land
Not yet measured
2030 target−50%violent conflict incidents
Horizontal trust2026 baseline: Sharp polarisation and fragmentation
Not yet measured
2030 target+40%on the inter-group trust index
Inclusive representation2026 baseline: Women, youth and minorities excluded
Not yet measured
2030 target35%minimum in local councils and peace committees
Sustainable reintegration2026 baseline: Stalled returns, secondary land occupation
Not yet measured
2030 target60%of returning IDPs and refugees reintegrated
Customary mediation capacity2026 baseline: Weak native administration, no modern tools
Not yet measured
2030 target100%of localities with working civil mediation
Take part

The Observatory is built with you

Two ways to contribute: an observation about an event or initiative in your area, or a quick five-question cohesion pulse. The Institute reviews every contribution before publishing or counting it.

  1. 1 Type
  2. 2 Place
  3. 3 Details
  4. 4 Send
What would you like to share?
Log

Public contributions after review

Published without identifying details, with the verification status the Institute reached.

VerifiedPeace initiative

Farmers’ and herders’ joint committee agrees water access times

South Darfur · October 2026
Confirmed by two peer-network sources.
Being verifiedSign of tension

WhatsApp rumour that a shared water source was poisoned

North Darfur · October 2026
Checking with the local Emergency Response Room.
VerifiedServices

Food distribution resumes at a shelter after a two-week halt

Central Darfur · September 2026
Confirmed by a partner organisation.
UnconfirmedSign of tension

Reports of armed movements near a weekly market

West Darfur · September 2026
No second source could confirm.
VerifiedPeace initiative

Youth from two groups restart monthly football matches

East Darfur · September 2026
Confirmed by two sources.
Being verifiedCorrection

Query on a figure in the education paper, Issue 1

Journal · Paper 15 · October 2026
Referred to the editorial board.
Entries shown are illustrative examples of the log, not real reports.
Verification

From contribution to index: five steps

  1. 01 Receipt Each contribution gets a tracking code, with no data on the sender’s device or location.
  2. 02 Screening The team removes names and anything that could identify or endanger a person.
  3. 03 Verification At least two independent sources from the field peer network, partners and universities.
  4. 04 Status Verified, being verified, or unconfirmed. Unconfirmed items are labelled, not deleted.
  5. 05 Publish and count Published in aggregate at locality level after at least 72 hours, feeding early warning and rapid surveys.

Timeline

  1. 2026Observatory and public contributions launch on the site
  2. 2027First annual survey across the five states; baseline set
  3. Every yearAnnual report on the index value and the five goals
  4. 2030Final measurement of the strategy goals

Join the Observatory

We are looking for universities, organisations and Emergency Response Rooms to join the monitoring and verification network, or to request a rapid survey in a tense area.

Contact us